Las estimaciones de los expertos, peores de las inicialmente previstas, indican que de los 4,5 millones de afectados por la enfermedad (con edades a partir de 65 años) en la actualidad se pasará a 5,7 en 2020, a 7,7 en 2030, a 11 en 2040 y a 13,2 en 2050.
Estas proyecciones proceden del análisis de la incidencia de la enfermedad durante cuatro años entre 3.913 mayores de 65 años de Chicago, así como de la prevalencia de la patología en Estados Unidos a partir de proyecciones demográficas del censo y del registro de fallecimientos del Centro Nacional de Estadísticas sobre Salud.
El incremento de la prevalencia es especialmente significativo entre los mayores de 85 años. En esta franja de edad, Estados Unidos pasará de los 1,8 millones de pacientes del año 2000 a 8 millones 50 años después. En el rango de 75 a 84 años la patología duplicará su prevalencia de 2,4 a 4,8 millones, mientras que entre las personas de 65 a 74 años sólo se registrará un tímido aumento de los 300.000 pacientes de 2000 a los 400.000 a mediados de siglo.
Webs Relacionadas
Rush-Presbyterian-St. Luke´s Medical Center
http://www.rush.edu/
Archives of Neurology
http://archneur.ama-assn.org/
![IntraMed](data:image/svg+xml,<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>%0A<svg id="Capa_1" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" version="1.1" viewBox="0 0 1080 315">%0A <defs>%0A <style>%0A .st0 {%0A fill-rule: evenodd;%0A }%0A%0A .st0, .st1 {%0A fill: %23002bc7;%0A }%0A%0A .st2 {%0A fill: %23fff;%0A }%0A </style>%0A </defs>%0A <g>%0A <circle class="st2" cx="141.5" cy="179.93" r="135.02"/>%0A <g>%0A <path class="st2" d="M350.28,126.97v106.62c0,7-4.04,11.22-10.41,11.22s-10.5-4.22-10.5-11.22v-106.62c0-7,4.13-11.22,10.5-11.22s10.41,4.22,10.41,11.22Z"/>%0A <path class="st2" d="M459.96,184.86v49.09c0,6.82-4.04,10.86-10.23,10.86s-10.14-4.04-10.14-10.86v-47.03c0-13.28-6.73-20.28-20.73-20.28-7.81,0-15.53,2.15-20.19,4.85v62.47c0,6.82-4.04,10.86-10.23,10.86s-10.14-4.04-10.14-10.86v-66.68c0-6.37,1.35-9.24,7.09-12.21,5.38-3.14,18.49-8.17,33.48-8.17,26.66,0,41.11,14.36,41.11,37.96Z"/>%0A <path class="st2" d="M505.83,137.92v10.68h24.14c7,0,10.59,3.59,10.59,9.42s-3.59,9.33-10.59,9.33h-24.14v45.05c0,9.78,3.86,14.09,12.74,14.09,4.76,0,8.08-1.08,10.77-1.98,2.15-.72,3.95-1.52,6.28-1.52,4.58,0,8.44,3.77,8.44,9.06s-3.14,8.08-7.99,9.96c-5.21,1.97-11.76,3.59-18.76,3.59-19.03,0-31.86-10.86-31.86-31.23v-76.47c0-6.82,3.95-10.77,10.14-10.77s10.23,3.95,10.23,10.77Z"/>%0A <path class="st2" d="M559.96,233.95v-55.73c0-19.3,11.76-31.32,30.69-31.32,6.01,0,11.22.72,15.17,1.89,5.83,1.61,9.87,4.67,9.87,10.32,0,6.28-4.22,9.87-8.44,9.87-1.97,0-3.41-.36-4.85-.72-3.05-.81-5.92-1.26-9.69-1.26-8.44,0-12.39,4.04-12.39,12.39v54.57c0,6.82-3.95,10.86-10.14,10.86s-10.23-4.04-10.23-10.86Z"/>%0A <path class="st2" d="M624.04,214.83c0-15.08,11.76-28.9,36.08-28.9,7.81,0,14.72.99,22.89,3.14v-7.45c0-10.86-5.74-16.25-20.28-16.25-6.37,0-12.74,1.62-16.69,3.23-2.69.99-5.21,1.88-7.45,1.88-4.76,0-8.53-3.68-8.62-8.71,0-4.22,2.24-7.54,7.81-9.69,6.19-2.6,15.8-5.21,26.48-5.21,24.5,0,38.41,11.04,38.41,35.27v46.13c0,3.68-.99,5.56-3.77,7.45-5.65,3.86-19.57,9.87-37.87,9.87-23.78,0-36.98-13.37-36.98-30.78ZM662.73,228.84c7.27,0,14.81-2.06,20.28-4.94v-20.19c-7.45-2.24-13.55-3.23-20.37-3.23-12.83,0-19.21,6.28-19.21,14.36,0,8.89,7.54,14,19.3,14Z"/>%0A <path class="st2" d="M724.12,235.12c0-.81.09-2.06.18-2.78l13.73-96.57c2.15-15.17,9.51-20.01,20.1-20.01,9.51,0,16.78,3.95,19.66,19.12l18.4,85.71c.45,1.62.72,2.33,1.98,2.33,1.35,0,1.7-.72,2.06-2.42l18.31-85.62c2.87-15.17,10.05-19.12,19.57-19.12,10.68,0,17.95,4.85,20.01,20.1l13.73,96.03c.18,1.44.27,2.24.27,3.32,0,5.84-3.95,9.6-9.69,9.6-6.55,0-10.14-3.5-10.86-10.05l-12.12-94.86c-.27-1.89-.72-2.51-1.88-2.51-.99,0-1.53.45-1.88,2.15l-19.57,88.22c-2.42,11.58-8.53,17.05-18.13,17.05-10.23,0-15.71-5.57-18.22-17.14l-19.48-88.04c-.45-1.62-.99-2.24-1.79-2.24-1.17,0-1.71.72-1.97,2.6l-11.85,94.78c-.81,6.64-4.31,10.05-10.41,10.05s-10.14-3.59-10.14-9.69Z"/>%0A <path class="st2" d="M891.08,208.91c-.63-6.73-.63-17.68-.09-23.96,2.06-22.17,18.04-37.87,42.18-37.87s39.67,16.06,39.67,39.67v5.3c0,9.87-1.97,11.31-10.86,11.31h-51.88c0,1.26,0,2.6.09,3.86.72,12.03,9.96,20.01,24.32,20.01,7.9,0,13.91-1.71,18.85-3.68,2.96-1.08,4.85-2.06,7.45-2.06,4.85,0,8.44,3.14,8.44,8.44.09,5.12-3.77,8.08-7.54,9.78-6.91,3.32-16.78,5.92-27.64,5.92-24.5,0-41.01-15.08-42.99-36.71ZM954,188.81c1.26-15.44-7.81-24.32-21.45-24.32s-21.54,8.98-22.35,22.08c0,.72-.09,1.53-.09,2.24h43.89Z"/>%0A <path class="st2" d="M1074.18,125.17v102.85c0,3.95-1.08,5.92-3.86,7.81-5.83,3.86-20.1,9.78-37.16,9.78-23.87,0-39.22-14.81-41.19-36.17-.72-7.27-.72-19.21,0-26.39,1.97-21.36,17.32-36.17,39.4-36.17,8.17,0,16.78,2.06,22.44,4.85v-26.57c0-6.82,3.95-10.86,10.23-10.86s10.14,4.04,10.14,10.86ZM1033.97,225.87c6.91,0,15.53-2.06,19.83-5.11v-49c-4.31-3.05-12.93-5.12-19.83-5.12-13.37,0-20.73,7.99-21.81,19.75-.54,6.55-.45,13.82,0,19.74,1.08,11.76,8.44,19.75,21.81,19.75Z"/>%0A </g>%0A <g>%0A <path class="st1" d="M101.42,217.17c0-.64.07-1.63.14-2.2l10.87-76.46c1.71-12.01,7.53-15.85,15.92-15.85,7.53,0,13.29,3.13,15.56,15.14l14.57,67.86c.36,1.28.57,1.85,1.56,1.85,1.07,0,1.35-.57,1.63-1.92l14.5-67.79c2.27-12.01,7.96-15.14,15.49-15.14,8.46,0,14.21,3.84,15.85,15.92l10.87,76.04c.14,1.14.21,1.78.21,2.63,0,4.62-3.13,7.6-7.67,7.6-5.19,0-8.03-2.77-8.6-7.96l-9.59-75.11c-.21-1.49-.57-1.99-1.49-1.99-.78,0-1.21.36-1.49,1.71l-15.49,69.85c-1.92,9.17-6.75,13.5-14.36,13.5-8.1,0-12.44-4.41-14.43-13.57l-15.42-69.71c-.36-1.28-.78-1.78-1.42-1.78-.92,0-1.35.57-1.56,2.06l-9.38,75.04c-.64,5.26-3.41,7.96-8.24,7.96s-8.03-2.84-8.03-7.67Z"/>%0A <path class="st1" d="M90.62,131.29v84.42c0,5.54-3.2,8.88-8.24,8.88s-8.31-3.34-8.31-8.88v-84.42c0-5.54,3.27-8.88,8.31-8.88s8.24,3.34,8.24,8.88Z"/>%0A </g>%0A <g>%0A <path class="st0" d="M74.36,202.14c19.92.79,54.3-4.62,92.4-15.33,58-16.32,102.67-38.77,99.76-50.15-2-7.85-26.05-8.39-59.77-2.65,23.98-2.82,37.51-1.37,39.11,4.9,2.82,11.03-37.79,32.76-93.95,48.56-1.26.35-2.51.7-3.76,1.04,0,0,0,0-.01,0-13.29,3.95-50.37,13.62-73.78,13.62Z"/>%0A <path class="st0" d="M191.55,191.02c-13.03,4.75-27.19,9.32-42.09,13.5-70.38,19.79-130.56,23.59-134.41,8.48-2.65-10.4,20.1-26.01,58.76-41.85-26.73,12.73-38.09,24.13-35.96,32.45,3.73,14.63,59.37,10.95,127.5-8.22,36.59-10.29,68.58-22.95,89.79-34.73-9.63,6.73-23.48,14.01-40.32,21.2-4.91,2.44-18.07,7.34-23.28,9.16Z"/>%0A </g>%0A </g>%0A</svg>%0A)